Brief Summary of World Wind Energy Stats 2008

March 30, 2009

Continental Europe Continues to Lead

• Most wind turbines
• Nearly all wind turbine designs

Feed Laws Lead

• Feed Laws produced ~2/3 of world wind capacity
• ¾ California wind capacity from Feed Law

World Wind 2008

• ~120,000 MW
• ~220 TWh/yr
• 20-40% Growth/yr
• 60% Europe; 20% North America
• $75 billion revenue; 66% project development; 30% electricity sales; 5% O&M
• Small Turbines: $20-50 million/yr

Major Fleets

• Germany: 24,000 MW in 2008 (30,000 MW on land by 2012; 10% wind)
• Spain: ~17,000 MW
• USA: 25,000 MW
• India: 10,000 MW
• Denmark: 3,500 MW

Growth in Major Markets 2004-2008

• Germany: 1,900 MW/yr (declining)
• Spain: 2,100 MW/yr
• USA: 3,800 MW/yr (boom & bust)
• India: 1,500 MW/yr (boom & bust)
• China: 2,300 MW/yr
• France: 600 MW/yr
• Italy: 550 MW/yr
• Britain: 525 MW/yr
• Canada: 400 MW/yr

Wind Penetration

• Denmark: 21%
• Spain: 12%
• Portugal: 9%
• Germany 2008: 6.5%
• California: 1.5%

German Wind

• 90,000 jobs
• 70% of turbines exported
• 40 TWh/2008
• w/ repowering on land another 10,000 MW
• ~150 TWh on land or ~25% of generation by 2020 (BEE)

German Renewables

• 280,000 jobs
• 15% of supply
• 95 TWh/yr

2,000 MW Club

• France,
• Canada,
• Portugal,
• Japan,
• the Netherlands,
• Britain, and
• Italy

Costs (Climbing)

• US$1,500-1,800/kW
• Steel, turbine supply, siting costs (birds & bats)

Wind Tariffs (~USD)

• Germany: $0.12/kWh (first 5 years); $0.17/kWh offshore
• France: $0.105/kWh (first 10 years); $0.17/kWh offshore
• Spain: $0.097/kWh (first 15 years)
• Ontario: $0.105/kWh, $0.15/kWh offshore, $0.11/kWh community wind (20 years)

Differentiated Tariffs by Resource Intensity Work

• 60% of new capacity in Germany is in the interior

Typical Yields

• 7 m/s: 1,000 kWh/m2/yr
• 9.5 m/s: 2,000 kWh/m2/yr

Swept Area

• 80 m diameter: 5,000 m2
• 90 m: 6,500 m2
• E112: 10,000 m2

Typical AEO

• 80 m @ 7 m/s: million kWh/yr
• 90 m @ 7 m/s: 6.5 million kWh/yr
• E112 @ 7 m/s: 10 million kWh/yr

Land Area Occupied

• 20 ha/MW
• 50 a/MW
• 80-100 m2 of land area/ m2 rotor swept area

Birds Killed in Altamont

• 2,000-5,000 birds/yr
• 1,000-1,300 raptors/yr
• 1.5-2.2 raptors/MW
• 100 Golden Eagles/yr
• ~20,000 raptors killed since 1984
• 35,000 to 100,000 birds killed since 1984

Bats WV

• 2,000-4,000/yr

Ownership

• Germany: 50% farmer or cooperative owned
• The Netherlands: 65% farmer or cooperative owned
• Denmark: 90% farmer or cooperative owned
• USA, Spain, UK: 0%

California Wind

• ~4 TWh/yr
• 1.5%

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